June 24, 2025

Daily Morning Analysis Report – Wednesday – 18/06/202

Daily Market Report

Gold Nears $3,400: XAU/USD moves higher ahead of Wednesday’s Fed decision, trading

around $3,392 amid rising safe-haven demand.

US Retail Sales Mixed: May headline sales fell 0.9% (vs. -0.7% expected), the largest drop

in 2024, while the control group rose 0.4%, signaling underlying consumer strength.

Fed Policy Uncertainty: Weak retail sales support the case for rate cuts, but the strong

control group complicates the outlook, potentially delaying easing.

Geopolitical Tensions Escalate: Renewed Israel–Iran hostilities, including missile and

drone strikes, increase demand for safe-haven assets like gold.

Strait of Hormuz Concerns: Fears of disruption to global oil supply due to the conflict are

pushing energy prices higher, boosting inflation risks.

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Team Rafmoh

Daily Report